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Delta: 2015 Capacity Growth Will Be Modest, Controlled

By Michael B. Baker / October 17, 2014 / Contact Reporter
Business Travel News on X

Delta Air Lines plans "disciplined" systemwide capacity growth of 2 percent next year, according to the carrier, which also reported an adjusted net income of $1 billion for the third quarter.

CEO Richard Anderson, speaking Thursday on a conference call with investors and media, said the 2 percent growth rate is Delta's target as it finalizes capacity plans for 2015. He noted that "excess capacity growth" on transatlantic routes this summer has put pressure on the industry.

"Despite the capacity situation, our transatlantic profitability increased year over year, and we again produced good double-digit margins with a very significant load factor premium to the industry," Anderson said. "Together with our joint-venture partners, we have adjusted our course and will limit JV capacity growth to around 1 percent to 3 percent this winter, a level that is appropriate within the current demand environment."

That limited growth will enable Delta to more quickly retire its fleet of Boeing 747-400s as it redeploys smaller-gauge wide-body aircraft to the Pacific. All 16 will have left Delta's fleet by 2017, according to Anderson.

Overall, 2015 international capacity growth will be largely flat year over year and domestic growth up about 2 percent. A research note from Cowen & Co. called the plan "strategic capacity moves" that would "drive profitability."

"Delta clearly understands why the market is concerned with its capacity additions, but their track record has been to grow in markets where it makes sense and to leave weak markets (for them, think Cincinnati and Memphis)," the note continued. "Delta will see lower capacity growth in Asia as well as in European markets outside of London."

During the quarter, Delta's total operating revenue increased 7 percent year over year to $11.2 billion. Consolidated revenue passenger miles were up 4 percent, and yield increased 2 percent.

Systemwide capacity in available seat miles increased 3 percent year over year, and Delta's load factor increased 0.4 percentage points to 86.4 percent.

During the call, Delta executives also fielded several questions about Ebola. Echoing comments earlier this month by American Airlines and British Airways chief executives, Delta executives said the carrier has seen no change in booking trends due to fear of the disease.

"This isn't the first communicable disease that we faced as an airline or an industry, and we are well-versed at managing these types of events," Delta executive vice president and COO Gil West said. "We've got a corporate safety and security staff that's in continuous dialogue with the Centers for Disease Control and the World Health Organization, and we adhere to all their recommendations."

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