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Revenue management is how travel suppliers forecast demand,
manage inventory and set prices using a variety of inputs. For corporate
programs, it also can determine how negotiated rates or discounts show up in
booking channels.
Airline Revenue Management
Airline revenue management uses historical demand patterns,
booking behavior over time, seasonality and competitive context to forecast
demand, control availability and set prices.
Seat inventory is split into fare classes, and airlines use algorithms to
determine how many seats to sell at each level—and when to open or close
availability based on current bookings and forecasts. These decisions balance
load factor with revenue per seat and are continuously adjusted.
One recent change
has been the rise of New Distribution Capability-enabled pricing models that go
beyond EDIFACT fare-filing constraints. NDC also enables dynamic and continuous
pricing. (See BTN's primer on continuous
pricing.)
Ancillary revenue—such as bags, seat selection, upgrades and
other à la carte services—has become a core part of airline revenue management, with fees
adjusting dynamically based on demand and traveler behavior.
Use of artificial intelligence to support suppliers’ pricing
decisions also is on the rise. Instead of relying solely on historical demand
patterns, AI-enabled systems can evaluate a broader range of signals and
generate price and inventory recommendations in real time, said Goldspring
Consulting partner Neil Hammond.
“While we have
not yet seen or measured the full impact on the ability of the airlines to
create personalized offers for travelers now that the airlines are becoming
more aware of who is searching, we have seen and measured the impact of
continuous pricing as the airline pricing capabilities have freed themselves
from the EDIFACT protocol,” Hammond added.
In addition,
revenue management models can affect when and where airlines fly, Hammond said.
Hotel Revenue
Management
Hotel revenue management uses many of the same forecasting
and pricing methods as airlines, but the way hotels define and price inventory
is changing.
Hammond points to a shift toward attribute-based selling—not
unlike the ancillaries airlines now charge for—where hotels move beyond broad
categories like “standard” or “suite” and instead price rooms based on features
travelers actually want, like view, layout or in-room extras. With
attribute-based pricing, travelers can search for specific attributes with
real-time availability, rather than clicking through each property
individually.
Implications
for Corporate Buyers
For buyers, the increasing control suppliers have over
pricing and availability can mean less consistency—and less visibility—into how
and when negotiated rates appear. Some programs have struggled to reconcile
what travelers see in booking tools with what the contract says they should
get. Global distribution system access to airline content has mostly evened out
since the end of full-content agreements, but questions around transparency
linger.
Revenue management has changed how corporate programs
negotiate, monitor and validate both air and hotel value. Buyers can no longer
assume that a negotiated rate—static or dynamic—will reliably show up in every
channel. Differences in distribution technology and channel content mean a
corporate fare or rate may appear in one place but not in another, Hammond
said.
As pricing becomes more fluid and personalized, industry
representatives are voicing concerns about how much control buyers retain over
how their negotiated rates appear. At the Global Business Travel Association
convention in July, Advito managing director and BCD Travel SVP April Bridgeman
stressed that buyers should keep a close watch on their air
contracts as travel patterns shift, market conditions change, and airlines roll
out new tools like NDC or Fetcherr. She warned that AI-driven pricing could
make program management more challenging.
"It does make things less transparent and predictable
and less measurable for travel managers," she said.
Travlr ID founder Gee Mann pointed to research suggesting
that AI bots trained to compete on pricing can unintentionally begin
coordinating their behavior, settling on similar price levels to avoid
volatility. He said this possibility makes transparency and clear audit trails
important.
That tension—greater efficiency for suppliers, less
predictability for buyers—is becoming a defining challenge as AI transforms
revenue management.
“Some airlines [are] questioning whether or not to
participate in the managed travel marketplace. Realignment of the booking-class
model to a service-class model, increased [volume] thresholds for the buyers in
some cases, and a clear tier structure is emerging,” Hammond said.
For travel
managers, the signal is clear: The rules of engagement are changing, and buyers
will have to adapt as suppliers revenue manage and redraw the boundaries of the
corporate travel landscape.