Procurement
American Express Business Travel predicted 2012 North America corporate travel prices generally would increase by low- to mid-single-digit percentages,
but forecast an "overall slight decline in
demand for U.S. air travel next year" amid sluggish economic performance.
North American airfares, according to Amex, will rise between 0.5 percent and 7
percent year over year, with short-haul business-class fares at the upper end
of the forecast range and long-haul economy-class fares at the lower end. The
travel management company projected North American hotel rates would increase
between 1.5 percent and 6.5 percent, with economy and "moderate" tier
properties coming in slightly higher in the forecast range than upscale- and
luxury-tier properties. "North American demand appears to be slowing and
growth is predicted to likely come to a near halt in the coming year if
economic uncertainty continues," according to Amex. "This means that
hotels will not be able to command price increases in negotiated business
contracts as high as the suppliers themselves are currently projecting to
investors. Even extremely popular cities like New York City are not seeing
demand strong enough to support double-digit level of increase in rates,
despite the hard line hotels have been trying to take lately in
negotiations." For car rental base rates, Amex predicted a decline as much
as 3 percent, citing "aggressive competition in the marketplace and the
slower recovery of higher-priced small business accounts who are watching their
bottom lines very carefully in 2012."