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PwC Forecasts 2011 Hotel Rate Spike After Flat 2010

By Michael B. Baker / January 24, 2011 / Contact Reporter
Business Travel News on X

Increasing occupancy amid a supply growth slowdown will boost U.S. hotel rates by 5.1 percent in 2011, according to a forecast issued by PricewaterhouseCoopers on Monday.

PwC said continued improvement in the U.S. economy would boost both business and leisure travel this year, leading to an increase of 3.2 percent in lodging demand. At the same time, hotel construction has slowed to its lowest level in about two decades, meaning U.S. hotel supply will increase only by 0.6 percent in 2011.

"Robust lodging demand growth during 2010 and an improved economic outlook for 2011 are raising expectations for a continued recovery in the U.S. lodging market," PwC principal and U.S. hospitality and leisure leader Scott Berman said in a statement. "Operators will increasingly shift their focus to generating higher room rates in markets that have already recognized a solid base of demand recovery."

The firm projects occupancy will reach 59 percent this year, up from 57.6 percent in 2010 but still well below the 2007 occupancy level of 62.8 percent. It also expects revenue per available room will increase by 7.8 percent, which would be the metric’s sharpest increase since 2006.

Meanwhile, STR also on Monday released full-year data for 2010, which shows the year ended with occupancy up 5.7 percent from 2009 levels, RevPAR up 5.5 percent and rates nearly flat, down 0.1 percent. STR CEO Mark Lomanno said that while 2010 will be known as a year of recovery, such factors as a slow return of group business prevented rate growth.

New York was an exception, with rates up 7.5 percent for the year, according to STR.
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