Source: Garner's "Unlocking NDC" research, published March 2025
Travel management company New Distribution Capability bookings,
as a percentage of total bookings, trailed NDC bookings in leisure channels by
10 percentage points, according to proprietary data from advisory service
Garner. The gap was even starker in comparison to OTAs, where one in five
bookings in 2024 were through NDC, compared with about one in 17 TMC bookings.
Of course, OTAs have some advantages over TMCs in NDC
adoption, including a simpler tech stack and a significant head start, having begun
adoption about 15 years ago. TMC NDC adoption largely started within the last
five years.
TMCs are making progress. Accelya reported that in 2024, TMC
NDC bookings increased 500 percent compared with 2022. The Garner report,
however, said not to expect "S-curve" growth in corporate bookings
due to the complexity of TMC tech stack configurations and the time it takes
for airlines' NDC integrations to mature. Accelya reported that in its NDC
growth from 2022 to 2024, 70 percent came from airlines that were already
processing NDC bookings prior to 2022, according to the Garner report.
Amadeus gave a similar indication in its fourth-quarter
earnings report. Amadeus Travel president Decius Valmorbida said that of the 70
NDC agreement the company has with airlines, 31 so far have been implemented,
and completion of those implementations will take a few years.
The percentage of NDC bookings in proportion to total
bookings is "going to be in the teens for quite a while," he said.