Hands On Tomorrow: Forecasting 2011 Travel - Business Travel News

Share this page

Text size: A A A

Hands On Tomorrow: Forecasting 2011 Travel

October 15, 2010 - 11:25 AM ET

Following an abysmal 2009, corporate travel trends next year are expected to build on the recovery firmly established this year, with corporations by and large anticipating higher travel demand, overall travel budgets continuing their upward trajectory and 2011 pricing growing in every travel supplier category, with the exception of rental cars.

"Business travel is coming back," declared National Business Travel Association president and CEO Craig Banikowski. "There is no doubt about it. Given the difficulties the industry faced during this last recession, corporate travel buyers welcome the improved conditions, and companies are already getting their teams back on the road to help build business."

2011 Budget Planner - Air NBTAAccording to an NBTA Foundation survey of 170 North American corporate travel buyers released late last month, corporate travel budgets grew on average 5.5 percent this year and are poised to grow an additional 4.45 percent in 2011, thanks to a combination of increased corporate travel demand, higher supplier pricing and growing airline fees.

According to respondents, the average corporate travel budget next year is expected to grow to $98 million, as 38 percent of respondents anticipate more travelers and 51 percent expect their company to log more trips. Sixty-seven percent of respondents expect higher supplier pricing, and 64 percent point to airline fees as drivers of that growth.

Though the NBTA Foundation determined that the industry would see a net increase in corporate travel budgets, not all companies plan to increase their spending. In its 2011 Global Travel Outlook, Egencia surveyed more than 300 clients, and though it found that only 4 percent planned travel budget reductions in 2011, 43 percent expected corporate travel budgets to hold steady. An additional 18 percent were not yet sure which direction their budgets would go.

Despite some uncertainty, the NBTA Foundation said it has seen renewed optimism from a majority of travel buyers. According to its survey, 72 percent of respondents agreed that the business travel industry has improved from a year ago, with 63 percent sharing that optimistic outlook for the next 12 months.

This improvement in the market, however, comes at a cost to travel buyers as suppliers increasingly wield pricing power. "Many travel buyers are already experiencing more strict market thresholds and expect this to result in smaller corporate discounts going forward," according to NBTA's Banikowski, noting that the buyer's market "may slowly be turning around." According to the NBTA Foundation survey, buyers anticipate domestic prices, not including those for domestic car rentals, to rise between 3 percent and 4.5 percent.

Also In This Series

Fares, Fees To Rise, Upping Air Travel Costs:  No matter which way you slice it or whose forecast you adhere to, airfares across most major regions and cabin classes are poised for year-over-year growth in 2011, following steady air travel price increases throughout this year.

Car Rental Rates To Hold Line:  Forecasts are mixed on ground transportation rates for 2011, though corporate car rental rates should vary little from this year's rates, analysts said.

Northeast Rate Hikes Highlight Hotels' Growing 2011 Strength:  Buyers are facing hotel rate increases in 2011, particularly in the northeastern United States, but analysts said hotel rates still have several years before they return to pre-recession levels.

Corporate Meeting Negotiations Expected To Tighten:  As analysts continue to shift hotel forecasts upward for this year and 2011, meeting buyers could find increasing room rates and hotels tightening such terms as attrition clauses and deposit requirements, though planners also should still expect plenty of perks to be included in negotiations.

This report appeared in the Oct. 11, 2010, edition of Business Travel News.

This page is protected by Copyright laws. Do Not Copy. Purchase Reprint

Leave your comment:

Comments

blog comments powered by Disqus